Markets

20 markets
Economy
New

Will the Fed funds target rate end 2026 below 3.5%?

YES chance 44%
Yes 44¢ No 56¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed hold rates at every remaining 2026 meeting?

YES chance 18%
Yes 18¢ No 82¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed cut rates at its October 2026 FOMC meeting?

YES chance 47%
Yes 47¢ No 53¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed deliver a 50bp cut at any 2026 meeting?

YES chance 22%
Yes 22¢ No 78¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed cut rates at its July 2026 FOMC meeting?

YES chance 45%
Yes 45¢ No 55¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed cut rates at its December 2026 FOMC meeting?

YES chance 52%
Yes 52¢ No 48¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed cut rates at its September 2026 FOMC meeting?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ No 50¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will a major economy slip into deflation in 2026?

YES chance 27%
Yes 27¢ No 73¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Fed cut its policy rate below 3% in 2026?

YES chance 46%
Yes 46¢ No 54¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the Japanese yen weaken past 170 per dollar in 2026?

YES chance 33%
Yes 33¢ No 67¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will Brent crude top $100 a barrel in 2026?

YES chance 30%
Yes 30¢ No 70¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the US dollar index (DXY) close above 110 in 2026?

YES chance 33%
Yes 33¢ No 67¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will China's 2026 GDP growth exceed 5%?

YES chance 48%
Yes 48¢ No 52¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will US CPI inflation fall below 2.5% in 2026?

YES chance 44%
Yes 44¢ No 56¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will UK inflation return below the BoE 2% target in 2026?

YES chance 41%
Yes 41¢ No 59¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will US unemployment top 5% in 2026?

YES chance 35%
Yes 35¢ No 65¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

YES chance 30%
Yes 30¢ No 70¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

BoJ hikes again before 2027?

YES chance 39%
Yes 39¢ No 61¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

India FY27 GDP growth above 7%?

YES chance 58%
Yes 58¢ No 42¢ 0 OXC
Economy
New

Brazil cuts the Selic before October?

YES chance 66%
Yes 66¢ No 34¢ 0 OXC