Markets

10 markets
Weather
New

Will Europe see a record-breaking summer heatwave in 2026?

YES chance 52%
Yes 52¢ No 48¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will India's 2026 monsoon deliver above-average rainfall?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ No 50¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?

YES chance 55%
Yes 55¢ No 45¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will California declare a statewide drought emergency in 2026?

YES chance 42%
Yes 42¢ No 58¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will a super typhoon make landfall in the Philippines in 2026?

YES chance 60%
Yes 60¢ No 40¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will a UK day exceed 40°C in 2026?

YES chance 28%
Yes 28¢ No 72¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will Arctic sea ice hit a record September minimum in 2026?

YES chance 38%
Yes 38¢ No 62¢ 0 OXC
Weather
New

Will an Atlantic hurricane reach Category 5 in 2026?

YES chance 48%
Yes 48¢ No 52¢ 0 OXC
Pick one · 5 options

How many times will it rain in Manila this week?

1 68%
4 67%
3 61%
+2 more options
Pick one · 4 options

How many times will it rain in Bangkok this week?

1 67%
3 67%
4 51%
+1 more option