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Part of: When will GPT-6 be released?

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

$0 Vol. New market open

Resolves by Aug 31, 2026 — see the Resolution tab for full criteria.

Probability over time
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026? Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2027? Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2027?
1
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? 16%
Yes No
2
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026? 33%
Yes No
3
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? 51%
Yes No
4
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2027? 70%
Yes No
5
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2027? 85%
Yes No

YES holders

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NO holders

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Order Book

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YES orderbook ladder — asks (sell offers) above, bids (buy offers) below.
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NO orderbook ladder — asks (sell offers) above, bids (buy offers) below.
TRADE NO Price in cents Shares Total in OXC
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Last: — Spread: —
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YES price (¢)

Resolution rules

A date ladder on OpenAI's GPT-6 launch. Each rung resolves YES if GPT-6 is publicly released on or before the stated date. Resolved by OutcomeX operator judgement against public reporting.

Resolution source
OutcomeX operator judgement against public reporting at close.

Market closes on .

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Resolution & market info

Resolves by Aug 31, 2026 — see the Resolution tab for full criteria.

Closes
24h volume
0 OXC
Source
OutcomeX operator judgement against public reporting at close.

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